Cards on Record
Next post ·Today's Cards 07:50 ET
Paper record · 1 Sep – 21 Oct 2026

Called before.Graded after.Nothing deleted.

+11.05R net of fees 68 cards 48 / 20 wins / losses 71% won
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Two posts a day

Called at 07:50. Graded at 17:45.

The morning post names the card before it can trigger. The evening post grades it, net of fees, and replies to the morning post.

Today's CardsAs posted · Thu 15 Oct · posted 08:24 ET
A hot inflation print and a scare over AI credit have the tape on its back foot. Two new cards on the S&P future, both live only from 10:15: a short under 7,729.5 and a long over 7,772.5, and the short sat close to its line at posting. The bitcoin short is open past its first target with its stop at entry. Nasdaq, gold and the bitcoin long are still waiting on their lines.
▸ ES short2026-10-15-ES-1
ES loses the overnight low: the third day sold · 15m close below 7,729.5 from 10:15 ET, stop 7,772.5 · Near trigger at posting.
▸ ES long2026-10-15-ES-2
ES takes back Wednesday's close: the gap bought · 15m close above 7,772.5 from 10:15 ET, stop 7,729.5
+ 6 macro and crypto basket calls, graded separately · 4 cards still working from earlier posts
The RecordAs posted · Wed 21 Oct · graded 21 Oct 17:06 ET
Two ES longs paid today. Saturday's long banked its second target, and this morning's long took its first before stopping out. The older BTC long ran out of time for a small loss. This morning's BTC long is open with its first target in. The NQ short and its put spreads expired without triggering.
▲ WIN2026-10-21-ES-1
ES long, T1 hit, then stopped: +0.14R after fees (+0.14R gross, fees under 0.01R)
▼ LOSS2026-10-16-BTC-1
BTC long, time stop at expiry: −0.39R after fees (−0.35R gross, fees −0.04R)
▲ WIN2026-10-17-ES-2
ES long, T2 hit, then stopped: +0.67R after fees (+0.67R gross, fees under 0.01R)
▸ BTC long2026-10-21-BTC-1
open, marked +0.65R at the close of grading (not a result), T1 hit
▸ ES short2026-10-17-ES-1
expired untriggered: no position, no grade
5 more in the post · + 6 macro and crypto basket calls, graded separately · Paper record (pre-launch): 68 cards · 48W 20L · +11.05R net (+12.36R gross) · 71% won
The board

68 cards. 20 losses. All on it.

Every card the desk has graded, oldest first. Drag the playhead or press play; the line, the totals and the receipt follow it. Pre-launch paper record, 1 September 2026 to 21 October 2026.

+11.05Rnet of fees
+12.36Rbefore fees
0.02Raverage fee a card
48 / 20wins / losses · 71% won
−3.63Rworst stretch so far
Gold · shadow 7 cards · 2 / 5 · −5.18R net of fees · 29% won Kept out of the record above from 17 October 2026: still called before and graded after, losers included, until a 20-card forward run shows it pays.
The record, card by cardR net of fees
Receipt
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A day on the desk

Four steps. Same every day.

Tap a step. The morning post is the proof: its timestamp comes before the bar that triggers the card.

The grading spec

Rules the code follows.

No person and no model decides whether a card won. The grade comes from the bars and these rules.

Bars15-minute bars from the feed the card is graded on: spot for BTC, ETH and SOL; for the futures the contract the card was written on, kept across a roll; leader stocks on regular hours only.
TriggerClose triggers on the bar's close; touch triggers on its high or low. Bars before a card's start time cannot trigger it.
FillAt the triggering bar's close. Beyond the chase price there is no fill, and nobody chases a gap.
AmbiguityOne bar touches stop and target: the stop counts. A bar that opens past the stop exits at the open.
Scale-outEqual parts at each target. Stop to entry after T1, to T1 after T2.
FeesEntries and stops as market orders, targets as resting orders, in R of the card's own risk. WIN or LOSS is decided net.
UnitR. 1R is trigger to stop. No dollars, no account sizes. The record leads with net R and the card count.

How the cards are made

Cards written each morning by a model analyst under a method and rules I design and approve. Code grades every card each evening against real 15-minute bars, fees and losers included.

What the desk never does

  • ×Place trades or manage money
  • ×Give advice about your account
  • ×Quote dollars or position sizes
  • ×Delete a losing card or a post
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Get the cards at 07:50. Check the grade at 17:45.

The public record starts the day the channel goes live. Everything on this page is the pre-launch paper record.