Cards on Record
Next post ·Today's Cards 07:50 ET
Paper record · 1 Sep – 3 Nov 2026

Called before.Graded after.Nothing deleted.

+12.95R net of fees 80 cards 58 / 22 wins / losses 73% won
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Two posts a day

Called at 07:50. Graded at 17:45.

The morning post names the card before it can trigger. The evening post grades it, net of fees, and replies to the morning post.

Today's CardsAs posted · Tue 3 Nov · posted 08:23 ET
Two new shorts for the record on election day, plus a shadow gold short. ES is already close to its line but cannot fire before the 09:30 cash open, and then needs a 15-minute close below 7,536.75. ETH needs a close below 2,233.5, Monday's low. Gold stays a shadow card, graded but kept out of the record.
▸ ES short2026-11-03-ES-1
ES short: July's low breaks during the vote · 15m close below 7,536.75 from 09:30 ET, stop 7,591.5 · Near trigger at posting.
▸ ETH short2026-11-03-ETH-1
ETH short: Monday's double low breaks · 15m close below 2,233.5, stop 2,301.56
▸ GC short2026-11-03-GC-1
GC short: the relief rally fails (shadow) · 15m close below 3,904.1 from 08:45 ET, stop 3,980.8 · shadow card: graded, kept out of the record
+ 6 macro and crypto basket calls, graded separately
The RecordAs posted · Tue 3 Nov · graded 3 Nov 17:06 ET
Two older crypto cards ran out of time at Monday's close and took their grades tonight. Saturday's ETH long never reached a target and closed as a loss. Sunday's BTC short closed a hair in the green after fees. This morning's ES short and the shadow gold short expired without a fill. The ETH short is still waiting for a 15-minute close below 2,233.5.
▼ LOSS2026-10-31-ETH-1
ETH long, time stop at expiry: −0.47R after fees (−0.46R gross, fees −0.01R)
▲ WIN2026-11-01-BTC-1
BTC short, time stop at expiry: +0.04R after fees (+0.06R gross, fees −0.02R)
▸ ES short2026-11-03-ES-1
expired untriggered: no position, no grade
▸ ETH short2026-11-03-ETH-1
not triggered (15m close below 2,233.5), still working
▸ GC short, expired untriggered: no position, no grade2026-11-03-GC-1
shadow card: graded, kept out of the record
+ 14 macro and crypto basket calls, graded separately · Paper record (pre-launch): 80 cards · 58W 22L · +12.95R net (+14.48R gross) · 73% won
The board

80 cards. 22 losses. All on it.

Every card the desk has graded, oldest first. Drag the playhead or press play; the line, the totals and the receipt follow it. Pre-launch paper record, 1 September 2026 to 3 November 2026.

+12.95Rnet of fees
+14.48Rbefore fees
0.02Raverage fee a card
58 / 22wins / losses · 73% won
−3.63Rworst stretch so far
Gold · shadow 12 cards · 6 / 6 · −3.45R net of fees · 50% won Kept out of the record above from 17 October 2026: still called before and graded after, losers included, until a 20-card forward run shows it pays.
The record, card by cardR net of fees
Receipt
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A day on the desk

Four steps. Same every day.

Tap a step. The morning post is the proof: its timestamp comes before the bar that triggers the card.

The grading spec

Rules the code follows.

No person and no model decides whether a card won. The grade comes from the bars and these rules.

Bars15-minute bars from the feed the card is graded on: spot for BTC, ETH and SOL; for the futures the contract the card was written on, kept across a roll; leader stocks on regular hours only.
TriggerClose triggers on the bar's close; touch triggers on its high or low. Bars before a card's start time cannot trigger it.
FillAt the triggering bar's close. Beyond the chase price there is no fill, and nobody chases a gap.
AmbiguityOne bar touches stop and target: the stop counts. A bar that opens past the stop exits at the open.
Scale-outEqual parts at each target. Stop to entry after T1, to T1 after T2.
FeesEntries and stops as market orders, targets as resting orders, in R of the card's own risk. WIN or LOSS is decided net.
UnitR. 1R is trigger to stop. No dollars, no account sizes. The record leads with net R and the card count.

How the cards are made

Cards written each morning by a model analyst under a method and rules I design and approve. Code grades every card each evening against real 15-minute bars, fees and losers included.

What the desk never does

  • ×Place trades or manage money
  • ×Give advice about your account
  • ×Quote dollars or position sizes
  • ×Delete a losing card or a post
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Get the cards at 07:50. Check the grade at 17:45.

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The public record starts the day the channel goes live. Everything on this page is the pre-launch paper record.